Morrow County Grain Growers

Pendleton Grain Growers

Duane Disque Or John Ripple

Jon Sperl

1-800-452-7396 or 541-989-8221

1-800-422-7611 or 541-276-7611

or Dan Steiner 481-6614 (work), 571-3798 (cell) graingrowers@centurytel.net

GOOD MORNING!!

Below are the best indications available as of:

9:00

2/7/08

 

SWW

SRW

DNS

HRW

Barley

Corn

Month

Portland

Chicago

Portland

Basis

Portland

Basis

Portland

Cash Px

Basis

February

13

17.74

3.80

12.80

1.60

250

195

March

13

17.76

3.82

12.82

1.62

251

April

13

17.78

3.84

12.84

1.64

252

May

13

10.72 CKW

17.78

3.84

12.84

1.64

254

June

JULY

9.71

9.56 CNW

12.85

.90

11.17

.55

205

AUGUST

9.70

9.60 CUW

12.20

1.05

11.17

.50

O N D

+.04/ mo

CZW

196.50

LDP's

-11.33

 

-13.14

 

-7.48

 

-3.24

-2.70

 

***Club premium: .00/ bu.

 

-.02/ 1/4

 

-.05/ 1/2

     

***NOTE: Corn bids vary depending on point of delivery. Please Call for Updates.

Futures continued their surge upward. KC and Mpls reds are solidly up the limit, while Chicago is barely able to hang on to a limit up move (currently up only 28-30). Traders are taking some anxiety out of corn this morning pushing it down 6. Yesterday there were 370,000 corn contracts trade hands (nearly 1.9 BYN bu). I have no words to describe how much volume that it…but it is A LOT. MGE raised their margin requirements to $950/ cak. Since 1/10 there have been 11 limit moves in Mpls, with 8 of the last 9 sessions seeing limit moves. ‘Synthetic’ trade indicates a futures prices could rally another $1.30 to $1.60.

Sales reports this morning showed strong sales once again in corn with 43.44 myn bu. Wheat was interesting in that we had 11.5 myn bu of old crop PLUS 5.7 myn bu of NEW CROP. It is unusual to see that type of n/c volume this early in the year. With world supplies of wheat poised to run out, end users are just wanting to get coverage no matter the cost.

Bush is still threatening to veto what ever version of the Farm Bill that Congress eventually offers up if it contains tax increases, and doesn’t curb subsidies.

India is now projecting their wheat harvest at 74.8 myn mt (2.75 byn…which is a bigger crop than the US produces). This latest estimate is about 1 myn mt smaller than last year. Algeria came in unannounced and booked 7.2 myn bu…supporting the idea that at some point price isn’t as important as providing food…they NEEDED wheat. Russia sold another 1.1 myn mt of intervention wheat to domestic channels to ‘cool’ food inflation. Brazil said that they expect to double ethanol production in the next 5 years. They expect to increase sugarcane production by about 8.5%/ year…but it will still only take less than 1% of the land or 3% of total available farmland.

***Didja Know: "Valuable" pearls are only found in oysters from tropical waters…Tulips actually originally came from Turkey, not the Netherlands…Tulip comes from the Turkey word meaning ‘turban’. The state of New York was the last state to put a photograph on your drivers license (about 1984).

***All bids are subject to change, please call for CONFIRMATION of prices. All information in this letter is from sources deemed reliable, and is for informational purposes only***