Morrow County Grain Growers

Pendleton Grain Growers

Duane Disque Or John Ripple

Jon Sperl

1-800-452-7396 or 541-989-8221

1-800-422-7611 or 541-276-7611

or Dan Steiner 481-6614 (work), 571-3798 (cell) graingrowers@centurytel.net

GOOD MORNING!!

Below are the best indications available as of:

9:00

2/28/08

 

SWW

SRW

DNS

HRW

Barley

Corn

Month

Portland

Chicago

Portland

Basis

Portland

Basis

Portland

Cash Px

Basis

March

12

17.95

2.45

13.90

1.73

222

207

April

12.25

17.95

2.45

13.90

1.73

224

208

May

12.25

11.92 CKW

19.95

4

13.90

1.73

226

June

19.95

4

13.90

1.73

220

July

10

10.88 CNW

14

.65 N

11.85

.55

206

August

9.9

12.80

1.00 U

11.88

.50

206

OND

. 04/ mo

208

N/C 2009

8

-2.00 CNW

11.10

Option px

10.00

Option px

202

LDP's

-9.21

 

-17.19

 

-9.38

 

-2.99

-3.02

 

***Club premium: .00/ bu.

 

-.02/ 1/4

 

-.05/ 1/2

     

***NOTE: Corn bids vary depending on point of delivery. Please Call for Updates.

Pretty amazing stuff, what is happening in the grain industry. Never happened before, may never happen again. Yesterday KC wheat gained over $1 in less than 2 minutes, Chicago went from limit down to limit up in just a few minutes. Stop orders were worthless as the market just blew past them going and coming. Specs are said to be bullish still, but yesterday HAD to shake their confidence. Exporters are more than happy to watch from the sidelines. Only trades that happen are during trading hours, and with a confirmation call. There continues to be some ‘chatter’ of gov’t intervention to restrict wheat exports. I don’t know if they are serious or not, but we can hope that common sense will prevail…but we also know that common sense isn’t as common as it used to be. Sales reports were rated as "acceptable". Corn sales tallied a luke warm 23.6 myn bu, Beans were 20 myn bu, Wheats were a solid 11.3 myn bu.

Turkey bot some off quality EU wheat, and Egypt has indicated a willingness to do the same and lower standards to reduce costs. This whole old crop wheat thing could ‘collapse’ quicker than we were expecting. There is also talk now that Japan may follow SK lead and accept GMO corn as early as this summer…SK was BIG, Japan would be HUGE, and perhaps pave the way for GMO wheat. Brazilian gov’t has approved GMO corn for production. IGC (Int’l Grain Council) has increased wheat production estimates to 646 myn mt, which is up 4 myn mt from last month.

Late winter storms have dumped literally tons of moisture across the corn belt. This is important for a couple things: 1 there will be talk of ‘late plantings’ for corn. I would discount these unless we see a whole string of spring storms. Remember the growers of today have the ability to plant 70-80% of the US corn acres in 1 week (we saw last year). As summer approaches, market will be expecting talk of drought. Remember all this snow will go a LONG way to build deep subsoil moisture, which MAY be important later. The North Dakota mill that said they may need to import wheat from Canada to continue running, has been able to gimp along. They are now saying stocks look adequate and they may not need to import any wheat.

 

***All bids are subject to change, please call for CONFIRMATION of prices. All information in this letter is from sources deemed reliable, and is for informational purposes only***